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Evidence-Based Technical Analysis: Applying the Scientific Method and Statistical Inference to Trading Signals

Evidence-Based Technical Analysis: Applying the Scientific Method and Statistical Inference to Trading Signals

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Contents

Table of Contents

Evidence-Based Technical Analysis: Applying the Scientific Method and Statistical Inference to Trading Signals

Acknowledgments

About the Author

PART I: Methodological, Psychological, Philosophical, and Statistical Foundations

CHAPTER 1: Objective Rules and Their Evaluation

CHAPTER 2: The Illusory Validity of Subjective Technical Analysis

CHAPTER 3: The Scientific Method and Technical Analysis

CHAPTER 4: Statistical Analysis

CHAPTER 5: Hypothesis Tests and Confidence Intervals

CHAPTER 6: Data-Mining Bias: The Fool's Gold of Objective TA

CHAPTER 7: Theories of Nonrandom Price Motion

PART II: Case Study: Signal Rules for the S&P 500 Index

APPENDIX: Proof That Detrending Is Equivalent to Benchmarking Based on Position Bias

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PART I Methodological, Psychological, Philosophical, and Statistical Foundations