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CHAPTER 7 - The Facts on Volume > A LONGER-TERM VIEW OF VOLUME

A LONGER-TERM VIEW OF VOLUME

Enough with the S&P 500; let’s look at a globally followed market, the British pound. Figure 7.9 reflects a simple strategy of exiting 20 days after a volume/price pattern. To test these patterns no stop was used, so the worst possible thing could happen in the trade: it could go straight down forever. The price-to-volume setup was to look at the direction of the moving average of price and compare that to the moving average direction of volume. In all instances the moving averages of price and volume were the same; for example, a 60-day moving average of price was compared to a 60-day moving average of volume.
FIGURE 7.8 S&P 500—Long-Term and Short-Term Price Down, Short-Term Volume Down
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In the first clip (Figure 7.9) we see the results of the trend of both price and volume being up; the moving average of each was greater than two days ago. Price up, volume up, the supposed bullish relationship, made some money here (showing a gain of $20,123 on 127 trades for an average gain of $157). The equity chart gives us a view of how easy or hard the winnings were to come by.

  

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