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Vice President, Publisher: Tim Moore
Associate Publisher and Director of Marketing: Amy Neidlinger
Editorial Assistant: Pamela Boland
Acquisitions Editor: Kirk Jensen
Operations Manager: Gina Kanouse
Senior Marketing Manager: Julie Phifer
Publicity Manager: Laura Czaja
Assistant Marketing Manager: Megan Colvin
Cover Designer: Chuti Prasertsith
Managing Editor: Kristy Hart
Project Editor: Lori Lyons
Copy Editor: Apostrophe Editing Services
Indexer: Erika Millen
Compositor: Nonie Ratcliff
Manufacturing Buyer: Dan Uhrig

© 2010 by Daniel B. Botkin

Pearson Education, Inc.
Publishing as FT Press
Upper Saddle River, New Jersey 07458

This book is sold with the understanding that neither the author nor the publisher is engaged in rendering legal, accounting, or other professional services or advice by publishing this book. Each individual situation is unique. Thus, if legal or financial advice or other expert assistance is required in a specific situation, the services of a competent professional should be sought to ensure that the situation has been evaluated carefully and appropriately. The author and the publisher disclaim any liability, loss, or risk resulting directly or indirectly, from the use or application of any of the contents of this book.

FT Press offers excellent discounts on this book when ordered in quantity for bulk purchases or special sales. For more information, please contact U.S. Corporate and Government Sales, 1-800-382-3419, For sales outside the U.S., please contact International Sales at

Company and product names mentioned herein are the trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective owners.

All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced, in any form or by any means, without permission in writing from the publisher.

Printed in the United States of America

First Printing March 2010

ISBN-13: 978-0-13-704976-9

Pearson Education LTD.
Pearson Education Australia PTY, Limited.
Pearson Education Singapore, Pte. Ltd.
Pearson Education North Asia, Ltd.
Pearson Education Canada, Ltd.
Pearson Educatión de Mexico, S.A. de C.V.
Pearson Education—Japan
Pearson Education Malaysia, Pte. Ltd.

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Botkin, Daniel B.
   Powering the future : a scientist’s guide to energy independence / Daniel Botkin.
        p. cm.
   Includes bibliographical references and index.
   ISBN 978-0-13-704976-9 (hardback : alk. paper)  1.  Power resources—United States.
2.  Power resources—United States—Forecasting. 3.  Renewable energy sources—
United States. 4.  Energy policy—United States.  I. Title.
   TJ163.25.U6B68 2010


We have only two modes—complacency and panic.

James R. Schlesinger, the first U.S. Energy Secretary, commenting on the country’s approach to energy (1977)

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