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PART TWO: Applying the Risk Premium Fact... > CHAPTER 7: Valuing an Acquisition or... - Pg. 77

CHAPTER 7 Valuing an Acquisition or Project Risk Premium Factor (RPF) modeling principles can be applied to acquisition or project evaluation to overcome common pitfalls in valuation. The most important applications are in determining cost of capital and using the model to calculate terminal value. This also requires setting a reasonable time horizon. Whether it is a merger- and-acquisition (M&A) transaction or upgrading a piece of equip- ment, the same principles apply. The RPF Model removes debate about the equity risk premium (ERP). Setting the investment hori- zon (length of your forecast) is critical to valuing a company or project, especially when using the RPF Model to determine ter- minal value. The time horizon needs to be developed relative the growth and cyclicality of the business under evaluation. The termi- nal value captures the value of your forecast beyond the horizon. While typically accounting for a large share of total value, it rarely receives the same diligence as the forecast within the horizon. The RPF Model helps establish a reasonable terminal value consistent with market valuation. C ountless books and articles have been written on the subjects of merg- ers and acquisitions and valuation. These next few chapters will outline only the highest-level basics with the dual purpose of providing a high-level overview of how to value a company or project to those unfamiliar with the practice, along with providing those familiar or even expert in valuation, a deeper dive into the application of the RPF Model to general discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, including the calculation of cost of capital and deter- mination of terminal value. Because calculating the terminal value requires a normalized cash flow to create a good result, a significant portion of the dis- cussion in these chapters is focused on setting the appropriate time horizon, dealing with cyclicality and estimating long-term growth. The end goal is to 77